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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Texas Solar Project Sold to CIP

LCG, July 31, 2020—An affiliate of Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners has completed purchase of a 350 MW solar photovoltaic project near the Houston metro area from Solar Plus Development Inc. and Avondale Solar. The project, Fighting Jays Solar, was sold July 22 and is expected to break ground by summer 2022, according to the companies' press release.

Earlier in the month, Shell Energy North America entered into a long-term hedge agreement with the project to purchase power.

The day after the sale was complete, Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners issued a Notice to Proceed to Centerpoint Energy to start construction on a substation that will permit interconnection with ERCOT.

The sale was initially announced in March. At that time the project was slated to be 440 MW and to break ground in 2020. Financial details have not been released.

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LCG Consulting of Los Altos, California was commissioned by Rohit Ogra, Co-Founder of AP Solar, to perform an economic analysis to assess the plant performance and congestion risks using LCG’s proprietary UPLAN Network Power Model and PLATO data model for ERCOT.

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