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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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PRESS RELEASES

LCG Releases January–March 2026 PJM Congestion Outlook Featuring Fundamentals-Based 3-Month Forecast (12/2/2025)

LCG, December 2, 2025 — LCG today announced the release of its PJM Congestion Outlook for January–March 2026, delivering a fundamentals-based, three-month forecast designed to help traders and risk managers better navigate congestion risks in PJM’s FTR markets.
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Previous Press Releases

LCG Releases January–March 2026 PJM Congestion Outlook Featuring Fundamentals-Based 3-Month Forecast (12/2/2025)
MISO Long-Term Nodal Insights (11/12/2025)
New Analysis from LCG Consulting: Where AI is Located Matters – ERCOT 2030 Outlook (9/19/2025)
LCG Webinar: Real-Time, Real Change: ERCOT’s Market Overhaul Explained (8/1/2025)
LCG Unveils 2nd Edition of 2025 ERCOT Electricity Market Outlook (3/20/2025)
LCG Publishes 2025 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (ERCOT) (8/14/2024)
LCG Publishes 2024 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (ERCOT) (10/10/2023)
LCG CONSULTING PREDICTS FUTURE VALUE OF EVERY PATH AVAILABLE IN THE 2024 CAISO CRR AUCTIONS (9/12/2023)
LCG Publishes 2023 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (ERCOT) (6/10/2022)
LCG Publishes 2022 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (ERCOT) (2/8/2022)
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