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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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LCG NEWS

LCG Unveils 2nd Edition of 2025 ERCOT Electricity Market Outlook (3/20/2025)

LCG, March 20, 2025 – LCG Consulting (LCG) has released a second edition of its annual outlook of the ERCOT wholesale electricity market for 2025, highlighting the region's rapid transition toward increased reliance on renewable energy resources and battery storage.
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Previous LCG News

LCG Unveils 2nd Edition of 2025 ERCOT Electricity Market Outlook (3/20/2025)
LCG Publishes 2024 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (ERCOT) (10/10/2023)
As Texas Wind and Solar Capacity Increase, Energy Curtailments are also likely to Rise (7/13/2023)
LCG 2023 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (See updated Outlook here) (7/11/2022)
LCG Publishes 2022 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (ERCOT) (2/8/2022)
NorthRenew Energy's Mesquite Sky Wind Project Commences Construction (1/26/2021)
Tokyo-based Electric Power Subsidiary partners with AP Solar in 400 MW Texas Solar Project (8/6/2020)
Texas Solar Project Sold to CIP (7/31/2020)
NorthRenew Energy achieved financial close for TG East Wind Project (6/18/2020)
ERCOT reviewed Frio County Transmission Project (6/18/2020)
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