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U.S. Coal-fired Generating Capacity Retirements in 2025 Are Less Than 20 Percent of Retirements in 2022

LCG, April 13, 2026--The EIA today released an "In-brief Analysis" of U.S. coal-fired generating capacity retirements in 2025. A highlight of the analysis is that, during 2025, the electric power sector retired 2.6 GW of coal-fired generating capacity at four power plants, which is (i) the least since 2010 and (ii) 5.9 GW less than the planned retirement of 8.5 GW at the beginning of 2025.

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EPA Proposes Rule Changes to Coal Combustion Residuals (CCR) Requirements to Restore American Energy Dominance

LCG, April 10, 2026--The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced yesterday a rule proposing several revisions to the federal regulations governing the disposal of coal combustion residuals (CCR) and the beneficial use of CCR. The EPA designed the rule to encourage resource recovery, allow for site-specific considerations in permitting, and provide regulatory relief while continuing to protect human health and the environment. The EPA will be accepting comments on the rule for 60 days after publication in the Federal Register, and it will also hold an online public hearing on the rule.

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Press Release

2021 Will Present New Challenges for Congestion Revenue Rights (CRRs) in CAISO

LCG, September 4, 2020--LCG Consulting completes a comprehensive congestion analysis for 2021 in California ISO (CAISO).

Market participants are busy preparing for the Congestion Revenue Rights (CRRs) allocations and auctions coming over the next weeks. They should pay attention to the changing system conditions that will impact their ability to acquire new CRRs and greatly affect the value of these products.

The state's energy market is navigating profound changes, from ambitious renewables standards to energy shortages and unprecedented growth in storage.

By performing a detailed market analysis, forecasting the hourly operations of CAISO through rigorous software simulation, LCG was able to determine that congestion patterns will be different than in previous years. For example, prices in the North of the State will not track the prices in the South as closely as they have in previous years. This divergence is due to a number of interrelated factors, including:
  • The retirement of many natural gas power plants in the Edison footprint
  • Significant transmission outages that will disrupt normal power flow patterns
  • New storage and solar
  • Limited capacity in the early evenings causing additional imports

Changes in congestion patterns indicate that certain market participants will be at risk when supplying power to locations different than where it is procured -- especially if they do not have congestion hedges or are hedging the wrong paths. Others may benefit greatly.

If you are interested in more information regarding LCG’s CAISO forecasts, please contact julie.chien@energyonline.com or 650-962-9670x110.


About LCG Consulting:
Silicon Valley-based LCG Consulting has been modeling power systems for more than 30 years. In that time, energy market participants and research institutions across the United States and internationally have relied on LCG models for every type of application, from electricity trading, plant siting, asset valuation, transmission planning and testimony support.
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