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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Press Release

LCG Publishes 2022 Annual Outlook for Texas Electricity Market (ERCOT)

LCG, February 8, 2022 – Texas has incorporated dramatic fuel mix and transmission changes over recent years, breaking its own 2020 record in wind production again in 2021. As part of an ongoing series, LCG Consulting has released its annual outlook of the ERCOT wholesale electricity market for 2022, based on the most likely weather, market, transmission, and generator conditions. This Outlook presents the future operation of the ERCOT nodal market, including Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs), load zone prices, hub prices and expected congestion in 2022.

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The Locational Marginal Price Model (LMP) Network Power Model
Uniform Storage Model
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Day Ahead and Real Time Market Simulation
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