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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Steel Producers Object to Proposed Unit Tax on Power

LCG, July 31, 2000--A plan under consideration by the Ohio Legislature to impose a per-kilowatt-hour tax on electricity sales came under fire Friday from the Ohio Steel Council, an organization made up of some of the largest U.S. steel producers, the steelworkers union and the Ohio Legislature itself.

The plan is being reviewed by the legislatures Joint Legislative Committee on the Kilowatt-Hour Tax, composed of Ohio House and Senate members. The committee is to complete its report bySeptember 30. Electricity restructuring is scheduled by law to begin January 1 of next year.

In restructuring the electric industry in its state, Ohio reduced personal property and gross receipts taxes paid by utilities, in order to relieve state electric companies of a competitive disadvantage they would suffer in comparison to out-of-state firms participating in the Ohio electric market.

Those taxes had been passed along by utilities to their customers but now that the taxes themselves are being transferred to electricity users, the biggest customers want them based on dollar volume rather than kilowatt-hours. Thats because they pay a lot less per kilowatt-hour.

The Steel Council said in a statement "Ohio steel producers have no objection to paying the same proportionate share of electricity tax that they have been paying for years. However, the proposed tax based on kilowatt hours consumed could result in a considerable tax increase, unfairly penalizing large industrial consumers, such as steel."

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