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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Calpine Gets Okay for 135 Megawatts Near San Jose

LCG, May 23, 2001Calpine Corp. yesterday received California approval for a new 135 megawatt peaking power plant the company intends to build just south of San Jose. The three-unit, gas-fueled facility will begin operation by next summer, the company said.

Following completion of the plant, to be located in the garlic capital of Gilroy, Calpine will add three more combustion turbines on the site, doubling the plants capacity to 270 megawatts. Calpine already owns a 131 megawatt cogeneration plant at Gilroy Foods.

For Gilroy, and neighboring Morgan Hill, the new plant will provide a customer for about a million gallons a day of treated wastewater from the communities' jointly-owned South County Wastewater Authority reclamation facility.

To Jay Baksa, city administrator of Gilroy, getting paid for the wastewater offers benefits of "enormous potential." Without the sale, the Authority would have to acquire land and build percolating ponds for the water. What they will get is income instead of expense.

Calpine, which typically makes "community benefit" investments in cities where it locates power plants, is in discussions with Gilroy officials about what the company can do to help out.

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