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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Press Release

COVID-19 Simulation Results for ERCOT 2020 - a Comparison to Business as Usual Case

LCG, April 23, 2020 -- The COVID-19 pandemic is having a profound impact on daily life and the economy, from affecting which businesses are allowed to operate, to influencing international oil prices. States and major cities in the US are instituting quarantines, along with shelter-in-place directives, to contain the spread of COVID-19. Power markets will likely deviate from their business-as-usual scenario as a result of decline in power demand and fuel prices.

Both the business as usual (bau) and the COVID-case were simulated using UPLAN Net-Work Power model, and the main results are published in this report .The readers can download the the report directly.

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