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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Aquila Rating Hovers Around Junk

LCG, Sep. 4, 2002--The revenue earned by Aquila from regulated operations may not be high enough to enable it to meet its obligations, make capital expenditures, and issue dividends, according to Moody's Investors Service.

While Moody's downgraded the energy company's debt to junk, Standard & Poor's issued a rating of "BBB-minus," a lower investment grade than the previous "BBB" rating. As a result of the negative outlook, Aquila has had to pay $192 million earlier than it might have otherwise. It has tried to raise capital by selling $1 billion of assets, and had earlier cut its dividend by 42%.

The company president and chief executive, Robert K. Green, said, "We've been preparing to conduct business operations under this possible scenario and will continue to deliver safe, reliable and economical energy to our customers." Aquila, formerly Utilicorp United, is based in Kansas City, Mo.
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