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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

House May Require DOE Comment on Standard Market Design

LCG, Sep. 9, 2002--The Secretary of Energy, Spencer Abraham, would be required to file a report on the possible effects of implementing the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's "standard market design" rules, according to a bill passed by the U.S. House Appropriations Committee.

The bill would need to be passed as part of a larger $26 billion energy and water spending bill before both the House and Senate. Among the subject areas the committee is interested in are regional wholesale and retail electricity prices, tarrif oversight by state utility commissions, transmission reliability and infrastucture enhancement.

"Standard market design" is scheduled to apply to all market regions, which would operate under a unified network tariff by Sep. 30, 2003. FERC intends the rules to bring about lower costs and greater access for competing suppliers, while some utility commissions and state governors have objected to loss of ratemaking authority and possible subsidization of infrastructure development by regions not receiving benefits. The report sought by the committee bill would need to be filed 90 days prior to the market rules' finalization.
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