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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

Hayward, CA Plant Receives License

LCG, Sep. 13, 2002--A 600-megawatt plant proposed by Calpine Corp. received approval from the California Energy Commission Wednesday.

The Russell City plant may be built starting in 2003, with operations expected in 2005. It would qualify as the largest power plant in Alameda County, providing power to the San Francisco Bay area, with Oakland to the north and San Jose to the south.

The plant would burn natural gas in a combined-cycle configuration. The city of Hayward and Calpine had discussed low-priced contracts through which the city would buy some of the output of the facility, but terms have not been made final.

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