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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

House Members Trade Proposals Over Power Market Authority, Oversight

LCG, September 17, 2002--The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's proposals for creating a seamless national electric power market are encountering some criticism from House lawmakers, as they draft specifics for electricity legislation.

The FERC's recently issued rules proposal, standard market design, is far from being derailed, although a prior FERC stipulation that utilities join regional transmission organizations (RTO's) is seen as too stringent. Among a group of Republicans, including Rep. Billy Tauzin (R-La.), and Rep. Joe Barton (R-Tex.), suggestions have been made that utilities could be awarded incentives should they join an RTO. That suggestion was criticized by Rep. Edward Markey (D-Mass.), as "very generous with the ratepayers money."

Standard market design is seen by some Southern and Western representatives as bypassing traditional state authority over market operations. Tauzin said that a vote on any changes to FERC's proposal would take place by July. Points of disagreement have also centered around a Republican proposal to repeal the Public Utilities Company Holding Act (PUHCA), a 1935 law which was to prevent utilities from acquiring undue market influence.

Democrats such as Henry Waxman (D-Calif.) have stressed what they see as a need for more oversight of electricity trading and financial integrity, while downplaying modifications to FERC's transmission-related rulemaking.
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