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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

SMUD Announces Budget Plans- No Rate Hike

LCG, November 13, 2002-Sacramento Municipal Utility District(SMUD) announced its budget plans will increase its debt but will not involve retail rate hikes.

SMUD plans to increase its debt in part to pay for new plants. $200 million will go to the construction of a new plant, while $13 million will be put towards wind farm expansion.

Currently SMUD has a debt of $1.8 billion and expects to end the year with a debt of $2.11 billion.

The municipality asserts that it is in very good financial condition and hopes to take in $36 million in excess revenues next year to put into a preexisting emergency fund.

Other issues in its budget include a problematic solar program, which will cost more than previously expected and is forcing the municipality to decide between increasing spending on the solar project or retaining a robust emergency fund. The solar project involves installing 800 kilowatts of solar to some 150 homes and 6 businesses, although SMUD had an initial goal of providing 2,400 KW of new solar power in 2003.

The budget is only in draft form as yet; board members will begin its review this week in Sacramento.

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