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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

FERC Finds Much Room for Demand Response

LCG, July 9, 2003--Despite high natural gas prices and resulting increased power prices, staff of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission have found little evidence of coordinated reduction in demand aimed at heading off price spikes.

Those regions of the country that have experienced the most severe power price increases include Florida, Texas and the West Coast, according to FERC's Office of Market Oversight and Investigations. It stated that FERC has tried to bring rules into effect that would increase the potential benefits of demand response. The areas of the country where demand response has received the most attention are New York, Connecticut, California and Florida.

The Office of Market Oversight and Invesigations' Summer Energy Market Assessment included remarks in the outline that "Demand response, an effective tool for dampening price spikes, is missing from electricity markets."
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