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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

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Faster-than-Expected Data Center Load Growth May Cause Increased Regional Short-term Fossil Fuel Generation and Wholesale Electricity Prices

LCG, March 18, 2026--The EIA released a new "In-depth Analysis" of the potential impact of faster-than-expected near-term growth in data center power demand on power generation and wholesale prices on March 12. The analysis models the lower 48 states through 2027 and compares results to its base case scenario. Key takeaway from this sensitivity analysis is the potential increase in fossil fuels in some regions and potentially a significant increase in wholesale prices in ERCOT.

Read more

Industry News

CPUC Clarifies Power Bond Measures

LCG, September 26, 2002-The California Public Utilities Commission released more information regarding its power revenue plans.

Wednesday, the California Public Utilities Commission publicized proposals to raise revenue in order cover costs to the state for its purchases of electricity and improve its utilities' credit ratings.

A proposed bond measure, previously announced as being $11.9 billion, may be repaid via utility rates, according to the PUC release. A charge of between $0.64 and $1.07 per kilowatt-hour would be added to rates beyond rates applied to Pacific Gas & Electric utility and Southern California Edison customers.

$6.6 billion of the bond revenue will go to the state's general fund, and the bond sale will be held in about 30 days.

The PUC also proposed a $0.04 per kilowatt-hour charge on rates to be put towards current and future electricity purchases, as was levied during the 2000/2001 energy crisis.

A third surcharge proposal involves placing a $0.027 per kilowatt-hour charge on direct access customers, which would be used to repay the California Department of Water Resources procurement costs. The DWR bought power on behalf of the state during the electricity crisis because utilities did not have good enough credit ratings to sign contracts with energy companies.

The last announced PUC proposal relates to employing bill AB 57, which was passed in order to bring about prompt review of contracts and procurement cost recovery.

Opinion on the proposals will be considered over the next 20 days.

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